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2024-12-13 16:30:29

The Japanese yen faces new risks. Strategists worry that the Bank of Japan may wait until March or later to raise interest rates. A new risk is emerging for the Japanese yen. Foreign exchange strategists in Tokyo warn that the Bank of Japan may wait until March or later next year to raise interest rates. On Wednesday, the market tasted this danger, and the yen fell to its lowest level in more than two weeks as traders responded to a Bloomberg report that the Bank of Japan is known to think that it is no harm to raise interest rates later. The yen only fell to 152.82 against the dollar, and the market is still debating whether the Bank of Japan will take action at its next meeting on December 19 or about a month later. Shusuke Yamada, head of Japan's foreign exchange and interest rate strategy at Bank of America in Tokyo, said that if policymakers put off raising interest rates for a longer time, the situation would be very different. "If the interest rate hike is postponed until March, the yen carry trade is likely to make a comeback," Yamada said on Thursday. "The yen is likely to fall again to a level just below the 157 mark hit in 155 or November."South Korea's National Assembly passed "Yin Xiyue's General Special Inspection Law" and "Jin Jianxit's Inspection Law". The reporter of the General Station was informed that on the 12th local time, South Korea's National Assembly held a general meeting of parliamentarians and passed "Yin Xiyue's General Special Inspection Law" and "Jin Jianxit's Inspection Law". (CCTV News)Dagang shares: the bankruptcy proceedings of China University of Science and Technology Port have ended, and Dagang shares announced that the bankruptcy proceedings of Jiangsu University of Science and Technology Port Laser Technology Co., Ltd., a holding subsidiary of the company, have ended. Since the bankruptcy administrator took over the port of China University of Science and Technology, it is no longer included in the scope of the company's consolidated statements.


Japan's Shimane nuclear power plant operating company said that there was no abnormality in the reactor water level gauge of Unit 2, which was previously misjudged. On December 12, local time, China Electric Power Company of Japan conducted an investigation on the report that the reactor water level gauge of Unit 2 of Shimane nuclear power plant was once abnormal, and the results showed that there was no abnormality. The company said that the value displayed by the instrument was normal, but the operator misunderstood the data and misjudged it as abnormal. (CCTV News)The 2.53 billion shares held by Greenland Group have been frozen. According to the legal litigation information of Tianyancha, recently, Guangxi Construction Engineering Group Co., Ltd. added a piece of information on the freezing of shares. The executor is Greenland Holding Group Co., Ltd., and the amount of frozen shares is about 2.53 billion RMB. The freezing period is from December 9, 2024 to December 8, 2027. The enforcement court is Wanzhou District People's Court in Chongqing.The RMB exchange rate is expected to appreciate again at the end of the year. The research team of the Financial Market Department of Agricultural Bank of China said that the market transactions have shown obvious narrative-driven characteristics in recent years. Considering some recent changes, the RMB exchange rate is expected to stabilize and rebound again in the future. First, the pricing of Trump transactions in the international market has come to an end. Second, there has been a major shift in domestic macro policies. Since late September, financial policies such as lowering the RRR, cutting interest rates, supporting the stock market and the real estate market, and fiscal debt measures have boosted market confidence. Third, there has been a favorable change in supply and demand in the domestic foreign exchange market. The end of the year is the traditional peak season for enterprises to settle foreign exchange, and the continuous forward discount will lead to the backlog of foreign exchange settlement, which will further amplify the demand for foreign exchange settlement at the end of the year. Further considering the overall situation of the game between China and the United States, Trump's return not only means the enhancement of external shocks, but also the upgrading of internal policies. The RMB exchange rate will maintain two-way fluctuations next year, and it is no longer a steady profit for enterprises to hold US dollars and postpone foreign exchange settlement. While stabilizing domestic foreign trade and foreign investment, continuing to expand high-level opening-up and expanding domestic demand in an all-round way implies the certainty of economic stabilization and recovery, which is expected to promote the return of short-term securities investment and medium-and long-term direct investment and help the RMB stop falling and rebound.


President of Hilton Asia Pacific: India's outbound travel will be the story of the next decade. According to the data of the World Tourism and Travel Council, in 2023, Indian tourists spent $34.2 billion on outbound travel. Allen Watts, president of Hilton Asia Pacific, said that compared with the future, the current level of Indian outbound travel consumption is "negligible". "The story of India is unfolding before us," he said. "India's outbound travel will be the story of the next decade." According to the World Tourism and Travel Council's Economic Impact in 2024 report, by 2034, the outbound spending of Indian tourists is expected to more than double, reaching 76.8 billion US dollars, which will make India's position in the global tourism consumption country rise from the 12th in 2023 to the 7th.The attack on the headquarters of the Ministry of Refugees and Repatriation in Afghanistan killed four people. An official from the Ministry of Interior of the Afghan Interim Government said on the 11th that the suicide attack at the headquarters of the Ministry of Refugees and Repatriation that day killed four people and seriously injured four others. Mufti Abdul Martin Carney, spokesman of the Interior Ministry of the Afghan interim government, issued a statement on the 11th, confirming that Khalil Rahman Haqqani, Acting Minister of Refugee and Repatriation Affairs, was killed in the attack. Haqqani is one of the leading figures of the Taliban in Afghanistan, and also the uncle of sirajuddin Haqqani, Acting Minister of the Interior of the Afghan Interim Government. (Xinhua News Agency)Alleged of tax evasion, Adidas' German headquarters was raided for two days in a row. On December 11th, local time, criminal prosecutors and customs investigators raided Adidas' German headquarters for the second day in a row, which was an escalation of years of investigation on the sports brand's alleged tax evasion. The amount of tax evasion may exceed 1.1 billion euros. The European Prosecutor's Office (EPPO), headquartered in Luxembourg, said on the 11th that it was conducting a "criminal investigation" against a German sportswear trading enterprise group on the grounds that it was "suspected of tax evasion related to customs duties and import and sales taxes". Adidas said that this long-term investigation is unlikely to have "any significant financial impact".

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